Bitcoin (BTC) is all however assured a worth drop if one sentiment metric is correct concerning the state of the market.
On Nov. 19, with BTC/USD lingering at $17,500, the Crypto Concern & Greed Index hit 94, almost matching its all-time excessive of 95 factors out of 100 on June 26, 2019.
Concern & Greed hits “greediest” in 17 months
Compiled used a number of estimates of investor sentiment, the Crypto Concern & Greed Index delivers a normalized rating out of 100 to gauge how overbought or oversold cryptocurrency markets actually are. The nearer the quantity is to 100, the higher the prospect that the market is due for a pullback.
Closely tied to cost motion, the index has succeeded in calling worth tops with appreciable accuracy since its initiation in early 2018.
“The crypto market behaviour could be very emotional. Folks are inclined to get grasping when the market is rising which ends up in FOMO (Concern of lacking out),” the builders clarify on the metric’s official web site.
“Additionally, folks usually promote their cash in irrational response of seeing purple numbers. With our Concern and Greed Index, we attempt to prevent from your personal emotional overreations.”
In late June 2019, the index hit its highest stage ever — 95 out of 100 — and at press time on Thursday, the document was only a single level greater than present readings.
Can sturdy arms avert a dip?
Analysts have broadly stopped short of calling the current bull run too hasty, given its “organic” nature, in the words of statistician Willy Woo, compared with its clip to all-time highs in 2017.
In principle, Woo and others argue, strong hands are buying up the supply this year, while amateurs and speculators remain on the sidelines.
That perspective is corroborated by data showing large numbers of coins leaving exchanges for cold storage and other long-term wallets, as well as whales’ buying activity.